Elida · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC
Elida is priced at 64¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 67¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC.
Price history
64¢ current
Contract brief
If a storm named Elida is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Elida
Rank
#1 of 9
Leader
Elida 30¢
Range
26¢-30¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-ELI
May 27, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
67¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 9
9 outcomes · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a storm named Elida is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Identifier
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-ELI
Event family
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Elida 30¢
Current share
—
Elida
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-ELI
Boris
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-BOR
Cristina
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-CRI
Douglas
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-DOU
Fausto
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-FAU
Genevieve
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-GEN
Hernan
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-HER
Iselle
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-ISE
Julio
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-JUL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 64% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.