Elon Musk's net worth for August above $650 billion
Above $650 billion is priced at 52¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 32¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 12 inside Will Elon Musk's net worth for August be above $.
Price history
52¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If Elon Musk's net worth is above $650 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $650 billion
Rank
#5 of 12
Leader
Above $450 billion 92¢
Range
2¢-92¢
Family volume
$77
Identifier
KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T650
Aug 2, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
68¢
Spread
32¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#5 of 12
12 outcomes · Will Elon Musk's net worth for August be above $
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$77
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 68¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Elon Musk's net worth is above $650 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T650
Event family
Will Elon Musk's net worth for August be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$77
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Above $450 billion 92¢
Current share
0%
Above $450 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T450
Above $500 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T500
Above $550 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T550
Above $600 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T600
Above $650 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T650
Above $700 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T700
Above $750 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T750
Above $950 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T950
Above $800 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T800
Above $850 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T850
Above $900 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T900
Above $1 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26AUG31-T1000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 52% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.