Elon Musk's net worth for July above $950 billion
Above $950 billion is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $.
Price history
55¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Elon Musk's net worth is above $950 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $950 billion
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Above $700 billion 97¢
Range
3¢-97¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T950
Jul 12, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 49m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
57¢
Spread
29¢
24h volume
$9
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 57¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Elon Musk's net worth is above $950 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T950
Event family
Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above $700 billion 97¢
Current share
1%
Above $700 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T700
Above $750 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T750
Above $850 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T850
Above $900 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T900
Above $950 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T950
Above $800 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T800
Above $1.00 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1000
Above $1.10 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1100
Above $1.05 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1050
Above $1.15 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1150
Above $1.40 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1400
Above $1.20 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1200
Above $1.50 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1500
Above $1.25 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1250
Above $1.30 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1300
Above $1.35 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1350
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 55% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.