Eminem · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31
Eminem is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31.
Price history
9¢ current
Contract brief
If Eminem is or if it is announced that Eminem is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Eminem
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Billie Eilish 23¢
Range
1¢-23¢
Family volume
$18
Identifier
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-EMI
Jun 26, 2026, 2:54 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$10
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$18
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Eminem is or if it is announced that Eminem is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-EMI
Event family
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$18
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Billie Eilish 23¢
Current share
0%
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BIL
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-OLIV
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ARI
Eminem
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-EMI
21 Savage
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-21S
2 Chainz
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-2CH
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ADD
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ALE
Anuel AA
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ANU
Lil Baby
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BAB
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BAD
Bebe Rexha
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BEB
Benson Boone
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BEN
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BEY
Big Sean
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BIG
BLACKPINK
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BLA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.