Olivia Rodrigo · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31
Olivia Rodrigo is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31.
Price history
18¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Olivia Rodrigo is or if it is announced that Olivia Rodrigo is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Olivia Rodrigo
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Dua Lipa 49¢
Range
1¢-49¢
Family volume
$316
Identifier
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-OLIV
Aug 6, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$52
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$316
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Olivia Rodrigo is or if it is announced that Olivia Rodrigo is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-OLIV
Event family
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$316
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Dua Lipa 49¢
Current share
16%
Dua Lipa
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-CUA
Fred again..
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-FRE
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-OLIV
Daft Punk
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-DAF
Drake
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-DRA
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ARI
Rauw Alejandro
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-RUA
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-JUS
Gracie Abrams
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-GRA
Trippie Redd
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-TRI
PinkPantheress
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-PIN
21 Savage
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-21S
2 Chainz
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-2CH
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ADD
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ALE
Anuel AA
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ANU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.