England · KXWCGROUPWIN-26L
England is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXWCGROUPWIN-26L.
Price history
91¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If England finish first in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
England
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
England 91¢
Range
1¢-91¢
Family volume
$15K
Identifier
KXWCGROUPWIN-26L-ENG
Jun 21, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
91¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCGROUPWIN-26L
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$15K
Orderbook snapshot
91 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If England finish first in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPWIN-26L-ENG
Event family
KXWCGROUPWIN-26L.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
England 91¢
Current share
14%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 91% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.