SimpleFunctions

Will FanDuel App Downloads for September 2026 be above 65

Will FanDuel App Downloads for September 2026 be above 65 is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 95¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

35¢ current

+33¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 31, 2026Sep 9, 2026

Contract brief

If the Carbon Arc FanDuel App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 65 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will FanDuel App Downloads for September 2026 be above 65

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXFANDUELAPP-26OCT08-T65

Sep 13, 2026, 6:16 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

35¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 13, 2026, 6:16 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

96¢

Spread

95¢

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Oct 8, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 96¢

Kalshi
95¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
AskSize
96¢305
97¢100
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Carbon Arc FanDuel App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 65 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 8, 2026

Identifier

KXFANDUELAPP-26OCT08-T65

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will FanDuel App Downloads for September 2026 be above 65 35¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.