SimpleFunctions

Fatima Kline · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18RICKLI

Fatima Kline is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18RICKLI.

Price history

77¢ current

+2¢
70¢75¢80¢
Jul 12, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Fatima Kline wins the Ricci vs Kline professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Fatima Kline

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Fatima Kline 75¢

Range

24¢-75¢

Family volume

$5K

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18RICKLI-KLI

Jul 13, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

77¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

75¢

Ask

77¢

Spread

24h volume

$570

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18RICKLI

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$5K

Orderbook snapshot

75 / 77¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
75¢1.8K
74¢22
73¢1.8K
72¢1.5K
65¢350
AskSize
77¢2.3K
78¢14
79¢4.5K
80¢2.7K
81¢3.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Fatima Kline wins the Ricci vs Kline professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18RICKLI-KLI

SF Signal
SF Index
5534.22
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18RICKLI.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$5K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Fatima Kline 75¢

Current share

11%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

614.9%

IY (No)

5534.2%

Adj IY

5534%

CRI

3

RV

193%

VR

0.78

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

614.9%
5534.2%
Adj IY
5534%
3
RV
193%
VR
0.78
IAR
2.2/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.