Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0 · Will Federal Funds Rate Decision
Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0 is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Will Federal Funds Rate Decision.
Price history
2¢ current
Contract brief
If ALL of the following occur for Jul 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0 50¢
Range
1¢-50¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXFEDCOMBO-26JUL-25C-0
Jun 23, 2026, 10:36 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$440
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Federal Funds Rate Decision
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ALL of the following occur for Jul 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Identifier
KXFEDCOMBO-26JUL-25C-0
Event family
Will Federal Funds Rate Decision.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0 50¢
Current share
—
Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0
kalshi · KXFEDCOMBO-26JUL-0-0
Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: >0
kalshi · KXFEDCOMBO-26JUL-0-T0
Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0
kalshi · KXFEDCOMBO-26JUL-25C-0
Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: >0
kalshi · KXFEDCOMBO-26JUL-25C-T0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.