Felix Rosenqvist · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26
Felix Rosenqvist is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26.
Price history
3¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Felix Rosenqvist finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Felix Rosenqvist
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Alex Palou 30¢
Range
1¢-30¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-FERO
Aug 2, 2026, 9:28 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$156
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26
Closes
Sep 6, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Felix Rosenqvist finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 6, 2026
Identifier
KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-FERO
Event family
KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Alex Palou 30¢
Current share
6%
Alex Palou
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-ALPA
Kyle Kirkwood
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-KYKI
Christian Lundgaard
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-CHLU
Scott McLaughlin
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-SCMC
David Malukas
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-DAMA
Pato O’Ward
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-PAOW
Josef Newgarden
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-JONE
Felix Rosenqvist
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-FERO
Alexander Rossi
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-ALRO
Christian Rasmussen
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-CHRA
Dennis Hauger
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-DEHA
Kyffin Simpson
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-KYSI
Marcus Armstrong
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-MAAR
Marcus Ericsson
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-MAER
Mick Schumacher
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-MISC
Nolan Siegel
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-FREEDOM26-NOSI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.