Felix Rosenqvist · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26
Felix Rosenqvist is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 48¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26.
Price history
53¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Felix Rosenqvist finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Felix Rosenqvist
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Alex Palou 83¢
Range
9¢-83¢
Family volume
$7
Identifier
KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-FERO
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
48¢
Ask
53¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$93
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26
Closes
Sep 6, 2026
Family volume
$7
Orderbook snapshot
48 / 53¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Felix Rosenqvist finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 6, 2026
Identifier
KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-FERO
Event family
KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Alex Palou 83¢
Current share
0%
Alex Palou
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-ALPA
Kyle Kirkwood
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-KYKI
Christian Lundgaard
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-CHLU
Josef Newgarden
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-JONE
David Malukas
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-DAMA
Marcus Ericsson
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-MAER
Felix Rosenqvist
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-FERO
Marcus Armstrong
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-MAAR
Graham Rahal
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-GRRA
Alexander Rossi
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-ALRO
Kyffin Simpson
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-KYSI
Christian Rasmussen
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-CHRA
Louis Foster
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-LOFO
Dennis Hauger
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-DEHA
Caio Collet
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-CACO
Mick Schumacher
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-MISC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 53% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.