Will Final Fantasy VII Remake #3 release this year?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Final Fantasy VII Remake #3 release this year?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing January 2, 2027. The 12¢ price reflects an extremely low probability of a 2026 release, which aligns with Square Enix's typical development timelines—the original Remake released in 2020 and Rebirth in 2024, suggesting a 2027-2028 window for part three.
Analysis
The 12¢ price reflects an extremely low probability of a 2026 release, which aligns with Square Enix's typical development timelines—the original Remake released in 2020 and Rebirth in 2024, suggesting a 2027-2028 window for part three. The extraordinarily high implied yield of 1,261% on the Yes side indicates severe mispricing or reflects genuine conviction that release is nearly impossible, though the thin $51 daily volume and modest $2,273 open interest suggest limited liquidity is constraining price discovery. With 261 days to expiry and a 9 cliff risk index, this market carries substantial tail risk, making it suitable only for traders comfortable with binary outcomes on a speculative timeline.
Resolution rules
If Final Fantasy VII Remake #3 is fully released before Jan 1, 2027 on any platform in the United States, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGAMERELEASE-26-FINA yes 100