Will Florida reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game
Will Florida reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game is priced at 7¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
7¢ current
Contract brief
If Florida is one of the teams to reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Florida reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-FLA
Jun 28, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Florida is one of the teams to reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-FLA
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Florida reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game 7¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 7% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.