France vs Belgium · KXWCMATCHUP-26SEMI1
France vs Belgium is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXWCMATCHUP-26SEMI1.
Price history
21¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If France vs Belgium is confirmed to be the matchup in the Semifinal of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
France vs Belgium
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
France vs Spain 55¢
Range
5¢-55¢
Family volume
$22K
Identifier
KXWCMATCHUP-26SEMI1-FRABEL
Jul 8, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCMATCHUP-26SEMI1
Closes
Jul 26, 2026
Family volume
$22K
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 21¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If France vs Belgium is confirmed to be the matchup in the Semifinal of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 26, 2026
Identifier
KXWCMATCHUP-26SEMI1-FRABEL
Event family
KXWCMATCHUP-26SEMI1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
France vs Spain 55¢
Current share
8%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.