Will France record the first goal of the game
Will France record the first goal of the game is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
65¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If France records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will France record the first goal of the game
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXWCFTTS-26JUN26NORFRA-FRA
Jun 26, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 2h ago
Implied probability
Bid
63¢
Ask
65¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$484
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
63 / 65¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If France records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXWCFTTS-26JUN26NORFRA-FRA
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will France record the first goal of the game 65¢
Current share
100%
Will France record the first goal of the game
kalshi · KXWCFTTS-26JUN26NORFRA-FRA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 65% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.