France score at least 15 goals in the full tournament of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
15+ goals is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 23¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Will France score at least 1.
Price history
98¢ current
+79¢Contract brief
If France records at least 15 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
15+ goals
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
15+ goals 76¢
Range
20¢-76¢
Family volume
$521
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26FRA-15
Jun 26, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
76¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
23¢
24h volume
$22
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · Will France score at least 1
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$521
Orderbook snapshot
76 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If France records at least 15 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26FRA-15
Event family
Will France score at least 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$521
Outcomes
5
Highest price
15+ goals 76¢
Current share
4%
15+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26FRA-15
13+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26FRA-13
11+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26FRA-11
17+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26FRA-17
19+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26FRA-19
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 98% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.