SimpleFunctions

Fulham · KXEPLRELEGATION-27

Fulham is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXEPLRELEGATION-27.

Price history

20¢ current

+3¢
10¢20¢30¢
Jul 27, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Fulham is relegated from the EPL in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Fulham

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Hull City 66¢

Range

1¢-66¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXEPLRELEGATION-27-FUL

Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 34m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 34m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · KXEPLRELEGATION-27

Closes

Jun 21, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 26¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
21¢523
19¢8
18¢100
15¢67
5¢147
AskSize
26¢408
30¢1.0K
33¢1.5K
42¢200
43¢90

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Fulham is relegated from the EPL in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 21, 2027

Identifier

KXEPLRELEGATION-27-FUL

SF Signal
SF Index
229.76
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

459.5%

IY (No)

32.5%

Adj IY

230%

CRI

4

Overround

1.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

459.5%
32.5%
Adj IY
230%
4
Overround
1.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.