SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027234 days left

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

25¢
$572K volume
$300K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$572K

Best sibling

Ticker

KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01

Market snapshot

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?. The displayed quote is 25¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $88K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.

Outcome

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027

Family rank

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

25¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

24h volume

$88K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01. Family volume: $572K.

Price history

25¢ current

+8¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 4, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 26¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
25¢3.6K
24¢811
23¢1.0K
22¢2.0K
21¢1.8K
AskSize
26¢1.1K
27¢2.3K
28¢2.4K
29¢1.9K
30¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If GameStop announces an agreement to acquire eBay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01

SF Signal
SF Index
448.40
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$572K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027 25¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

467.1%

IY (No)

51.9%

Adj IY

448%

CRI

3

RV

596%

VR

2.69

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

467.1%
51.9%
Adj IY
448%
3
RV
596%
VR
2.69
IAR
1.2/h
LAS
0.04

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.