SimpleFunctions
KalshiMar 31, 20291057 days left

Will government spending decrease by 1000 before 2028?

This contract is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

9¢
$16K volume
$4K liquidity

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

At least 250 billion 6¢

Ticker

KXGOVTCUTS-28-1000

Market snapshot

At least 1 trillion in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will government spending decrease by 1000 before 2028?. The displayed quote is 9¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $16K. In the Will government spending decrease family, this outcome ranks #4 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

At least 1 trillion

Family rank

#4 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Mar 31, 2029

Reported volume

$16K

Family context

5 outcomes · Will government spending decrease

Quote range

3¢-6¢

Family leader

At least 250 billion 6¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXGOVTCUTS-28-1000. Family volume: .

Price history

9¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 7¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.0K
100¢2.0K
100¢400
3¢702
3¢500
AskSize
7¢500
8¢1
20¢51
21¢306
22¢385

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If government spending decreases by at least 1000 during Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 31, 2029

Identifier

KXGOVTCUTS-28-1000

Event family

Will government spending decrease.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

5

Highest price

At least 250 billion 6¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1116.2%

IY (No)

1.1%

Adj IY

558%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

political

Full indicator table

1116.2%
1.1%
Adj IY
558%
32
Overround
-0.8%

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