Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?
This contract is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$216
Best sibling
At least 250 billion 5¢
Ticker
KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB
Market snapshot
At least 50 billion in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?. The displayed quote is 10¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the Will government spending decrease family, this outcome ranks #1 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
At least 50 billion
Family rank
#1 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
10¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Mar 31, 2027
Reported volume
$1K
Family context
5 outcomes · Will government spending decrease
Quote range
2¢-5¢
Family leader
At least 50 billion 5¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB. Family volume: $216.
Price history
10¢ current
+5¢Orderbook snapshot
5 / 10¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 31, 2027
Identifier
KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB
Event family
Will government spending decrease.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$216
Outcomes
5
Highest price
At least 50 billion 5¢
Current share
0%
At least 50 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB
At least 250 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTCUTS-26-250
At least 500 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTCUTS-26-500
At least 750 billion
kalshi · KXGOVTCUTS-26-750
At least 1 trillion
kalshi · KXGOVTCUTS-26-1000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.469
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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