SimpleFunctions
KalshiMar 31, 2027326 days left

Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$1K volume
$973 liquidity
586% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$216

Best sibling

At least 250 billion 5¢

Ticker

KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB

Market snapshot

At least 50 billion in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?. The displayed quote is 10¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the Will government spending decrease family, this outcome ranks #1 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

At least 50 billion

Family rank

#1 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

10¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Mar 31, 2027

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

5 outcomes · Will government spending decrease

Quote range

2¢-5¢

Family leader

At least 50 billion 5¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB. Family volume: $216.

Price history

10¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026Apr 29, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 10¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
100¢53
5¢1.0K
4¢50
2¢97
AskSize
10¢1.0K
10¢45
11¢1.0K
14¢2.0K
22¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 31, 2027

Identifier

KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB

Event family

Will government spending decrease.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$216

Outcomes

5

Highest price

At least 50 billion 5¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.469

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

2125.0%
5.9%
Adj IY
0%
19
0.000
Overround
-0.8%
LAS
1.00

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