Hao-Tong Li · KXGOLFMAJOR-30
Hao-Tong Li is priced at 48¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 92¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXGOLFMAJOR-30.
Price history
48¢ current
+45¢Contract brief
If Hao-Tong Li wins a golf major championship (including The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Hao-Tong Li
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Akshay Bhatia 5¢
Range
2¢-5¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXGOLFMAJOR-30-HLI
Sep 19, 2026, 1:23 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
92¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXGOLFMAJOR-30
Closes
Jul 7, 2030
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Hao-Tong Li wins a golf major championship (including The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 7, 2030
Identifier
KXGOLFMAJOR-30-HLI
Event family
KXGOLFMAJOR-30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Akshay Bhatia 5¢
Current share
—
Akshay Bhatia
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-ABHA
Cameron Young
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-CAME
Chris Gotterup
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-CGOT
Blades Brown
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-BBRO
Ben Griffin
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-BGRI
Hao-Tong Li
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-HLI
Andrew Novak
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-ANOV
Aldrich Potgieter
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-APOT
Alex Smalley
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-ASMA
Bud Cauley
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-BCAU
Corey Conners
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-CCON
Daniel Berger
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-DBER
Denny McCarthy
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-DMCC
Eric Cole
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-ECOL
Harris English
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-HENG
Harry Hall
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-30-HHAL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
sports
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.