SimpleFunctions

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026 · KXHKANEKNIGHT-26

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026 is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

17¢ current

33¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 5, 2026Jul 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Harry Kane is confirmed to have been knighted by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$246

Identifier

KXHKANEKNIGHT-26-YES

Jul 28, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

17¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 28, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

18¢

Ask

20¢

Spread

24h volume

$246

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$246

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 20¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
18¢10
17¢90
16¢146
15¢200
7¢172
AskSize
20¢28
21¢200
30¢30
39¢117
40¢250

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Harry Kane is confirmed to have been knighted by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXHKANEKNIGHT-26-YES

SF Signal
SF Index
1060.83
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXHKANEKNIGHT-26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$246

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026 18¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1060.8%

IY (No)

51.1%

Adj IY

1061%

CRI

5

RV

554%

VR

1.26

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1060.8%
51.1%
Adj IY
1061%
5
RV
554%
VR
1.26
IAR
0.7/h

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.