SimpleFunctions

Above 8B · Will Harry Styles have

Above 8B is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 15 inside Will Harry Styles have.

Price history

46¢ current

+9¢
30¢40¢50¢
Jul 16, 2026Aug 15, 2026

Contract brief

If Harry Styles has Above 8B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 8B

Rank

#11 of 15

Leader

Above 5.5B 95¢

Range

5¢-95¢

Family volume

$400

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-STYLES26DEC31-8.0B

Aug 15, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

46¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 15, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

37¢

Ask

45¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#11 of 15

15 outcomes · Will Harry Styles have

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Family volume

$400

Orderbook snapshot

37 / 45¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
37¢5
36¢200
AskSize
45¢200
75¢4
82¢4
83¢368
84¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Harry Styles has Above 8B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-STYLES26DEC31-8.0B

SF Signal
SF Index
444.33
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

444.3%

IY (No)

153.3%

Adj IY

444%

CRI

2

RV

151%

VR

0.69

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

444.3%
153.3%
Adj IY
444%
2
RV
151%
VR
0.69
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
8.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.