SimpleFunctions

Home Depot Inc. report Above 405 million customer transactions in Q3 2026

Above 405 million is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside Will Home Depot Inc. report Above.

Price history

5¢ current

44¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 29, 2026Jul 30, 2026

Contract brief

If Home Depot Inc. reports Above 405000000 customer transactions in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 405 million

Rank

#6 of 6

Leader

Above 380 million 89¢

Range

3¢-89¢

Family volume

$602

Identifier

KXHD-26NOVTXN-405000000

Jul 30, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 30, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$210

Family rank

#6 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Home Depot Inc. report Above

Closes

Mar 17, 2027

Family volume

$602

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 6¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
4¢4
3¢146
2¢201
AskSize
6¢6
7¢200
15¢1
18¢13
19¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Home Depot Inc. reports Above 405000000 customer transactions in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 17, 2027

Identifier

KXHD-26NOVTXN-405000000

SF Signal
SF Index
5127.57
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Home Depot Inc. report Above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$602

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 380 million 89¢

Current share

35%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5127.6%

IY (No)

4.9%

Adj IY

5128%

CRI

32

RV

147667%

VR

105.30

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5127.6%
4.9%
Adj IY
5128%
32
RV
147667%
VR
105.30
IAR
1.4/h
Overround
1.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.