Honda HRC Castrol · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26
Honda HRC Castrol is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 11 inside KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Honda HRC Castrol wins the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Honda HRC Castrol
Rank
#9 of 11
Leader
Aprilia Racing 82¢
Range
1¢-82¢
Family volume
$23
Identifier
KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-HOND
Jun 1, 2026, 9:50 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$50
Family rank
#9 of 11
11 outcomes · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26
Closes
Dec 14, 2026
Family volume
$23
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Honda HRC Castrol wins the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 14, 2026
Identifier
KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-HOND
Event family
KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$23
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Aprilia Racing 82¢
Current share
0%
Aprilia Racing
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-APRI
Ducati Lenovo Team
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-DUCA
Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-PERT
Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-MONS
Red Bull KTM Factory Racing
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-REDF
Trackhouse Racing
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-TRAC
BK8 Gresini Racing MotoGP
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-BK8G
Red Bull KTM Tech3
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-REDT
Honda HRC Castrol
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-HOND
LCR Honda
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-LCRH
Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP
kalshi · KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-PRIM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.