Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
14¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $52.50, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$15K
Identifier
KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26JUN30-5250
Jun 24, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$820
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$15K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 21¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $52.50, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26JUN30-5250
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 14¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 14% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.