I Can’t Love You Anymore · KXCMA-MEOTY26
I Can’t Love You Anymore is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 17¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside KXCMA-MEOTY26.
Price history
69¢ current
+67¢Contract brief
If I Can’t Love You Anymore wins Musical Event of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
I Can’t Love You Anymore
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
I Can’t Love You Anymore 36¢
Range
2¢-36¢
Family volume
$417
Identifier
KXCMA-MEOTY26-ICA
Sep 25, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
53¢
Spread
17¢
Reported volume
$772
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · KXCMA-MEOTY26
Closes
Nov 18, 2027
Family volume
$417
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 53¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If I Can’t Love You Anymore wins Musical Event of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 18, 2027
Identifier
KXCMA-MEOTY26-ICA
Event family
KXCMA-MEOTY26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$417
Outcomes
5
Highest price
I Can’t Love You Anymore 36¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 69% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.