Illinois · KXNCAAMBAPRANK-26W1RK2
Illinois is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside KXNCAAMBAPRANK-26W1RK2.
Price history
7¢ current
Contract brief
If Illinois is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Illinois
Rank
#4 of 5
Leader
Duke 43¢
Range
9¢-43¢
Family volume
$141
Identifier
KXNCAAMBAPRANK-26W1RK2-ILL
Sep 17, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$831
Family rank
#4 of 5
5 outcomes · KXNCAAMBAPRANK-26W1RK2
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Family volume
$141
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Illinois is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAMBAPRANK-26W1RK2-ILL
Event family
KXNCAAMBAPRANK-26W1RK2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$141
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Duke 43¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.