Will I'm The Problem be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: I'm The Problem · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04
Will I'm The Problem be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: I'm The Problem is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If I'm The Problem is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will I'm The Problem be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: I'm The Problem
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$9K
Identifier
KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-IMT
Jun 27, 2026, 3:19 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$100
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$9K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If I'm The Problem is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-IMT
Event family
KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love 99¢
Current share
1%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-YOU
Will DO THAT AGAIN be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: DO THAT AGAIN
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-DOT
Will UNTIL THE SUN EXPLODES be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: UNTIL THE SUN EXPLODES
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-UNT
Will HOME be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: HOME
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-HOM
Will ARIRANG be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: ARIRANG
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-ARI
Will Number Ones be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: Number Ones
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-NUM
Will TBD 1 be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: TBD 1
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-TBD
Will OCTANE be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: OCTANE
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-OCT
Will One Thing At A Time be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: One Thing At A Time
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-ONE
Will Project X be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: Project X
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-PRO
Will The Art of Loving be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: The Art of Loving
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-THEA
Will COLOR OUTSIDE THE LINES be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: COLOR OUTSIDE THE LINES
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-COL
Will The Great Divide be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: The Great Divide
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-THE
Will DANDELION be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: DANDELION
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-DAN
Will ICEMAN be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: ICEMAN
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-ICE
Will I'm The Problem be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: I'm The Problem
kalshi · KXTOPALBUM-26JUL04-IMT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.