Instacart App Downloads for September 2026 above 136
Above 136 is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 9 inside Will Instacart App Downloads for September 2026 be above 1.
Price history
20¢ current
+18¢Contract brief
If the Carbon Arc Instacart App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 136 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 136
Rank
#9 of 9
Leader
Above 116 65¢
Range
22¢-65¢
Family volume
$25
Identifier
KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T136
Sep 4, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$350
Family rank
#9 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Instacart App Downloads for September 2026 be above 1
Closes
Oct 8, 2026
Family volume
$25
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 23¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Carbon Arc Instacart App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 136 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 8, 2026
Identifier
KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T136
Event family
Will Instacart App Downloads for September 2026 be above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$25
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 116 65¢
Current share
0%
Above 116
kalshi · KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T116
Above 120
kalshi · KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T120
Above 122
kalshi · KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T122
Above 124
kalshi · KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T124
Above 126
kalshi · KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T126
Above 128
kalshi · KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T128
Above 130
kalshi · KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T130
Above 132
kalshi · KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T132
Above 136
kalshi · KXCARTAPP-26OCT08-T136
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 20% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.