Iowa St · KXMARMADROUND-27T2
Iowa St. is priced at 19¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 32¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXMARMADROUND-27T2.
Price history
19¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If Iowa St. qualifies for the 2027 Men's College Basketball Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Iowa St.
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Gonzaga 39¢
Range
1¢-39¢
Family volume
$184
Identifier
KXMARMADROUND-27T2-ISU
Jun 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
32¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMARMADROUND-27T2
Closes
May 2, 2027
Family volume
$184
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Iowa St. qualifies for the 2027 Men's College Basketball Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 2, 2027
Identifier
KXMARMADROUND-27T2-ISU
Event family
KXMARMADROUND-27T2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$184
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Gonzaga 39¢
Current share
0%
Gonzaga
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-GONZ
Syracuse
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-SYR
Florida
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-FLA
Michigan
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-MICH
Duke
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-DUKE
Iowa St.
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-ISU
Houston
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-HOU
Kansas
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-KU
Tennessee
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-TENN
Arizona
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-ARIZ
Arkansas
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-ARK
UConn
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-CONN
Illinois
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-ILL
Louisville
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-LOU
Michigan St.
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-MSU
Texas
kalshi · KXMARMADROUND-27T2-TEX
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.