Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition
Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
7¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$244K
Identifier
KXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01-T6
Jun 7, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$339
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Mar 1, 2027
Family volume
$244K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 1, 2027
Identifier
KXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01-T6
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$244K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition 7¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.365
Observability
low
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.