SimpleFunctions

Isaiah Likely · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750

Isaiah Likely is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750.

Price history

36¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢
Jul 28, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Isaiah Likely records 750+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Isaiah Likely

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Jaylen Waddle 66¢

Range

3¢-66¢

Family volume

$477

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750-ILIKELY9

Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 59m ago

Implied probability

36¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 59m ago

Bid

29¢

Ask

36¢

Spread

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$477

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 36¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
29¢197
16¢15
15¢2.0K
14¢90
AskSize
36¢169
47¢46
48¢250
49¢49
50¢4.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Isaiah Likely records 750+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750-ILIKELY9

SF Signal
SF Index
280.03
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

560.1%

IY (No)

93.4%

Adj IY

280%

CRI

2

Overround

17.6%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

560.1%
93.4%
Adj IY
280%
2
Overround
17.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.