Ismael Bonfim · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL25BONSOL
Ismael Bonfim is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL25BONSOL.
Price history
36¢ current
+30¢Contract brief
If Ismael Bonfim wins the Bonfim vs Sola professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ismael Bonfim
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Axel Sola 63¢
Range
36¢-63¢
Family volume
$17K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL25BONSOL-BON
Jul 21, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL25BONSOL
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Family volume
$17K
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 37¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ismael Bonfim wins the Bonfim vs Sola professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL25BONSOL-BON
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL25BONSOL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$17K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Axel Sola 63¢
Current share
20%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.