Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche loses authorization to practice law in New York State through disbarment, an effective suspension, or a court-accepted resignation from the New York bar that removes his name from the roll of attorneys before Jan 1, 2027
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche loses authorization to practice law in New York State through disbarment, an effective suspension, or a court-accepted resignation from the New York bar that removes his name from the roll of attorneys before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
12¢ current
−36¢Contract brief
If Todd Blanche loses authorization to practice law in New York State through disbarment, an effective suspension, or a court-accepted resignation from the New York bar that removes his name from the roll of attorneys after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche loses authorization to practice law in New York State through disbarment, an effective suspension, or a court-accepted resignation from the New York bar that removes his name from the roll of attorneys before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$573
Identifier
KXBLANCHEDISBAR-27
Aug 9, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$573
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$573
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Todd Blanche loses authorization to practice law in New York State through disbarment, an effective suspension, or a court-accepted resignation from the New York bar that removes his name from the roll of attorneys after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBLANCHEDISBAR-27
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$573
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche loses authorization to practice law in New York State through disbarment, an effective suspension, or a court-accepted resignation from the New York bar that removes his name from the roll of attorneys before Jan 1, 2027 12¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 12% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.