Becomes law without signature · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that
Becomes law without signature is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that.
Price history
74¢ current
+39¢Contract brief
If the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act becomes law without Donald Trump’s signature after Issuance and before Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Becomes law without signature
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Becomes law without signature 73¢
Range
1¢-73¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXROADOUTCOME-26-NOSIG
Jul 8, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 35m ago
Implied probability
Bid
73¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
73 / 74¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act becomes law without Donald Trump’s signature after Issuance and before Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Identifier
KXROADOUTCOME-26-NOSIG
Event family
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Becomes law without signature 73¢
Current share
2%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.