Before 2027 · Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before
Before 2027 is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before.
Price history
7¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2027
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Before January 21, 2029 22¢
Range
7¢-22¢
Family volume
$896
Identifier
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
Jun 26, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$24
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$896
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
Event family
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$896
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before January 21, 2029 22¢
Current share
3%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
low
Event type
political
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.