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Above 6.5B · Will J. Cole have

Above 6.5B is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside Will J. Cole have.

Price history

13¢ current

+2¢
10¢15¢
May 24, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If J. Cole has Above 6.5B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 6.5B

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Above 4B 97¢

Range

1¢-97¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-COLE26DEC31-6.5B

Jun 23, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

21¢

Spread

11¢

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · Will J. Cole have

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 21¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
10¢500
3¢247
2¢940
AskSize
21¢500
66¢1
67¢702
71¢24
86¢84

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If J. Cole has Above 6.5B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-COLE26DEC31-6.5B

SF Signal
SF Index
851.25
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1702.5%

IY (No)

21.0%

Adj IY

851%

CRI

9

Overround

7.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1702.5%
21.0%
Adj IY
851%
9
Overround
7.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.