Will Jacksonville win the Pro Football AFC South Division?
Prediction markets currently give a 33% probability that Will Jacksonville win the Pro Football AFC South Division?. This contract trades at 33¢ on Kalshi, closing January 25, 2027. Jacksonville's 32¢ price implies a 32% win probability for the AFC South, which appears reasonable given the Jaguars' competitive position in a division with Houston and Indianapolis.
Analysis
Jacksonville's 32¢ price implies a 32% win probability for the AFC South, which appears reasonable given the Jaguars' competitive position in a division with Houston and Indianapolis. The market shows virtually no trading activity (zero 24h volume) with minimal open interest of $1,147, indicating low liquidity that could make entry/exit challenging. The unusually high implied yield of 273.5% on the Yes side reflects the long 284-day time horizon and low current price, though this should be discounted by the 137% risk-adjusted yield and the 2 Cliff Risk Index score, suggesting meaningful uncertainty around resolution.
Also on polymarket at 28¢(Δ +5¢)
Resolution rules
If Jacksonville wins the Pro Football AFC South Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-JAC yes 100