SimpleFunctions

Jadarian Price be a top 10 fantasy rookie in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

Jadarian Price is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 25¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27ROOKT10.

Price history

71¢ current

+18¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 24, 2026Sep 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Jadarian Price finishes top 10 in scoring among rookies for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jadarian Price

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Jadarian Price 81¢

Range

1¢-81¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27ROOKT10-JPRICE8

Sep 14, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

71¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 14, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

73¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

25¢

Reported volume

$288

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27ROOKT10

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

73 / 98¢

Kalshi
25¢ spread
BidSize
73¢27
AskSize
98¢150
99¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jadarian Price finishes top 10 in scoring among rookies for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27ROOKT10-JPRICE8

SF Signal
SF Index
616.39
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

67.8%

IY (No)

1232.8%

Adj IY

616%

CRI

4

Overround

5.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

67.8%
1232.8%
Adj IY
616%
4
Overround
5.0%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.