SimpleFunctions

Jahmyr Gibbs · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C12

Jahmyr Gibbs is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C12.

Price history

60¢ current

+48¢
25¢50¢
Aug 20, 2026Sep 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Jahmyr Gibbs records 12+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jahmyr Gibbs

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Christian McCaffrey 55¢

Range

2¢-55¢

Family volume

$416

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C12-JGIBBS0

Sep 16, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

60¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 16, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

61¢

Ask

73¢

Spread

12¢

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C12

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$416

Orderbook snapshot

61 / 73¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
61¢150
50¢500
49¢7
46¢90
AskSize
73¢155
88¢90
97¢315
98¢150
99¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jahmyr Gibbs records 12+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C12-JGIBBS0

SF Signal
SF Index
136.93
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

273.9%

IY (No)

252.8%

Adj IY

137%

CRI

1

Overround

5.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

273.9%
252.8%
Adj IY
137%
1
Overround
5.3%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.