Jalen Brunson · KXESPYS-26BAMS
Jalen Brunson is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside KXESPYS-26BAMS.
Price history
59¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If Jalen Brunson wins Best Athlete, Men's Sports at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jalen Brunson
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Jalen Brunson 59¢
Range
1¢-59¢
Family volume
$544
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BAMS-JAL
Jul 12, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
59¢
Ask
64¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$239
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · KXESPYS-26BAMS
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Family volume
$544
Orderbook snapshot
59 / 64¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jalen Brunson wins Best Athlete, Men's Sports at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BAMS-JAL
Event family
KXESPYS-26BAMS.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$544
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Jalen Brunson 59¢
Current share
44%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 59% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.