Jalin Turner · KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15TURFER
Jalin Turner is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 58¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15TURFER.
Price history
61¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Jalin Turner wins the Turner vs Fernandes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jalin Turner
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Jalin Turner 58¢
Range
39¢-58¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15TURFER-TUR
Aug 8, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
58¢
Ask
61¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15TURFER
Closes
Aug 30, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
58 / 61¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jalin Turner wins the Turner vs Fernandes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 30, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15TURFER-TUR
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15TURFER.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Jalin Turner 58¢
Current share
93%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 61% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.