SimpleFunctions

Will James Wood be selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby

Will James Wood be selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

2¢ current

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 13, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If James Wood is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will James Wood be selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$19K

Identifier

KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-JWOOD29

Jul 14, 2026, 2:09 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 14, 2026, 2:09 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

100¢

Spread

100¢

24h volume

$16K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Family volume

$19K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Kalshi
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If James Wood is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-JWOOD29

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$19K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will James Wood be selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby 2¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.