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Japan consumer confidence for June 2026 above 35.0

Above 35.0 is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 15 inside Will Japan consumer confidence for June 2026 be above.

Price history

29¢ current

+27¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 29, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If Japan consumer confidence for June 2026 is above 35 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 35.0

Rank

#14 of 15

Leader

Above 28.5 94¢

Range

13¢-94¢

Family volume

$17

Identifier

KXJPCONCONF-26JUL01-T35.0

Jun 21, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

29¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 21, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

30¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

Reported volume

$48

Family rank

#14 of 15

15 outcomes · Will Japan consumer confidence for June 2026 be above

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Family volume

$17

Orderbook snapshot

30 / 39¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
30¢5
29¢200
18¢3
12¢42
11¢64
AskSize
39¢181
40¢200
69¢28
77¢88
78¢61

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Japan consumer confidence for June 2026 is above 35 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXJPCONCONF-26JUL01-T35.0

SF Signal
SF Index
4617.58
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9235.2%

IY (No)

1696.3%

Adj IY

4618%

CRI

2

Overround

10.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9235.2%
1696.3%
Adj IY
4618%
2
Overround
10.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.