Jay-Z · KXFEATURE-26SET
Jay-Z is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 12 inside KXFEATURE-26SET.
Price history
49¢ current
Contract brief
If Jay-Z is featured on the album SET IN STONE before Jul 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jay-Z
Rank
#12 of 12
Leader
French Montana 94¢
Range
11¢-94¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXFEATURE-26SET-JAY
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$21
Family rank
#12 of 12
12 outcomes · KXFEATURE-26SET
Closes
Jul 24, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jay-Z is featured on the album SET IN STONE before Jul 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 24, 2026
Identifier
KXFEATURE-26SET-JAY
Event family
KXFEATURE-26SET.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
French Montana 94¢
Current share
2%
French Montana
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-FRE
Meek Mill
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-MEE
Kanye West
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-KAN
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-KEN
Jeezy
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-JEE
Drake
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-DRA
Future
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-FUT
Lil Wayne
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-LIL
Nas
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-NAS
DJ Khaled
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-DJK
21 Savage
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-21S
Jay-Z
kalshi · KXFEATURE-26SET-JAY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 49% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.