SimpleFunctions

Will Joe Burrow record 25+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

Will Joe Burrow record 25+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season is priced at 41¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 81¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

41¢ current

23¢
50¢
Sep 2, 2026Sep 10, 2026

Contract brief

If Joe Burrow records 25+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Joe Burrow record 25+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONPASSTDS-27C25-JBURROW9

Sep 10, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

41¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Sep 10, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

81¢

Spread

81¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 81¢

Kalshi
81¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
81¢5
85¢300
98¢400
99¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Joe Burrow records 25+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONPASSTDS-27C25-JBURROW9

SF Signal
Regime
taker

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Joe Burrow record 25+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season 41¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.