SimpleFunctions

Johannes Høsflot Klæbo · KXESPYS-26BRBP

Johannes Høsflot Klæbo is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside KXESPYS-26BRBP.

Price history

11¢ current

+9¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jun 30, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Johannes Høsflot Klæbo wins Best Record-Breaking Performance at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Johannes Høsflot Klæbo

Rank

#3 of 5

Leader

Myles Garrett 54¢

Range

1¢-54¢

Family volume

$476

Identifier

KXESPYS-26BRBP-JOH

Jul 11, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

Ask

11¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#3 of 5

5 outcomes · KXESPYS-26BRBP

Closes

Jul 16, 2027

Family volume

$476

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 11¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
6¢74
AskSize
11¢111
16¢1.0K
45¢89
89¢341
90¢5.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Johannes Høsflot Klæbo wins Best Record-Breaking Performance at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 16, 2027

Identifier

KXESPYS-26BRBP-JOH

SF Signal
SF Index
1545.17
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXESPYS-26BRBP.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$476

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Myles Garrett 54¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1545.2%

IY (No)

6.3%

Adj IY

1545%

CRI

16

RV

829%

VR

2.27

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1545.2%
6.3%
Adj IY
1545%
16
RV
829%
VR
2.27
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.