SimpleFunctions

Josh Allen · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10

Josh Allen is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 98¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10.

Price history

69¢ current

+29¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 26, 2026Sep 17, 2026

Contract brief

If Josh Allen records 10+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Josh Allen

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Jahmyr Gibbs 81¢

Range

1¢-81¢

Family volume

$413

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-JALLEN17

Sep 17, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

69¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 17, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

Ask

98¢

Spread

98¢

24h volume

$6

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$413

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 98¢

Kalshi
98¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
98¢150
99¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Josh Allen records 10+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-JALLEN17

SF Signal
SF Index
294.06
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

118.7%

IY (No)

588.1%

Adj IY

294%

CRI

2

Overround

9.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

118.7%
588.1%
Adj IY
294%
2
Overround
9.3%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.