Josh Hoover · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26
Josh Hoover is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 54¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXHEISMANFINALIST-26.
Price history
63¢ current
+58¢Contract brief
If Josh Hoover is selected as a finalist for the Heisman Trophy in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Josh Hoover
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Arch Manning 26¢
Range
1¢-26¢
Family volume
$228
Identifier
KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-JHOO
Sep 12, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
54¢
Reported volume
$333
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Family volume
$228
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Josh Hoover is selected as a finalist for the Heisman Trophy in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Identifier
KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-JHOO
Event family
KXHEISMANFINALIST-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$228
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Arch Manning 26¢
Current share
0%
Arch Manning
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-AMAN
Julian Sayin
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-JSAY
Malachi Toney
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-MTON
CJ Carr
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-CCAR
Josh Hoover
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-JHOO
Gunner Stockton
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-GSTO
Jadan Baugh
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-JBAU
Bo Jackson
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-BJAC
Dante Moore
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-DMOO
Demond Williams Jr.
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-DWIL
Jayden Maiava
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-JMAI
Drew Mestemaker
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-DMES
Bryce Underwood
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-BUND
Ahmad Hardy
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-AHAR
Byrum Brown
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-BBRO
DJ Lagway
kalshi · KXHEISMANFINALIST-26-DLAG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 63% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.